Which Jobs Will Disappear in the Next 5 Years?

Which Jobs Will Disappear in the Next 5 Years?

Job Automation Risk Checker

Job displacement is a process where specific occupations become obsolete because machines, software, or new business models replace human labour. In the next five years, the pace of automation is set to outstrip the ability of many workers to retrain, meaning a wave of jobs disappearing will hit sectors from retail to transport. Governments, companies, and individuals are already scrambling to understand which roles are at risk and how to future‑proof careers.

Why automation matters now

Three forces are converging:

  • Automation is a suite of technologies that perform tasks without human intervention, driven by cheaper hardware and more powerful software.
  • Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a branch of computer science that enables machines to learn, reason, and make decisions that previously required human judgement.
  • Economic pressure to cut costs and boost productivity after a decade of supply‑chain shocks.

These drivers mean that tasks once thought "too complex for machines" are now within reach, reshaping the labour market faster than any previous industrial revolution.

Top 10 jobs most likely to vanish by 2030

Data from the OECD and a 2023 McKinsey automation study show that certain roles have an automation potential above 80%:

  1. Cashiers - Retail checkout workers replaced by self‑service kiosks and computer vision
  2. Telemarketers - Outbound sales scripts handled by AI voice bots
  3. Routine manufacturing operatives - Assembly line positions taken over by collaborative robots (cobots)
  4. Truck drivers (long‑haul) - Autonomous vehicles poised to handle freight routes
  5. Travel agents - AI‑powered booking platforms already outperform human agents
  6. Bank tellers - Digital banking and biometric kiosks reduce face‑to‑face transactions
  7. Paralegals (document review) - Machine‑learning tools can scan contracts faster and with fewer errors
  8. Fast‑food kitchen staff - Robotic fryers and automated order screens streamline preparation
  9. Print journalists (basic reporting) - Natural‑language generation creates news briefs from data feeds
  10. Warehouse pickers - Amazon‑style robots now move shelves to human workers, cutting the need for manual picking

These examples illustrate a pattern: jobs that involve repetitive, predictable tasks are the first to be automated.

Jobs likely to survive or even grow

Roles that require creativity, empathy, complex problem‑solving, or physical dexterity in unpredictable environments remain safe. According to a 2024 World Economic Forum report, the following occupations have low automation risk (<20%):

  • Healthcare professionals (doctors, nurses, physiotherapists)
  • Education and training specialists
  • Software developers and AI specialists (ironically, the creators of the technology)
  • Skilled trades that need on‑site judgment (electricians, plumbers)
  • Creative designers, writers, and marketers who craft brand narratives

These jobs also benefit from the growing demand for digital transformation, meaning they could see wage premiums.

Key skills that will safeguard your career

Reskilling is no longer a nice‑to‑have; it’s a survival strategy. The most valuable skill buckets for the next five years are:

  1. Advanced digital literacy - comfort with data analytics, cloud platforms, and basic coding.
  2. Complex problem solving - the ability to break down ambiguous challenges and devise novel solutions.
  3. Emotional intelligence - skills in negotiation, conflict resolution, and client empathy.
  4. Creativity and design thinking - turning user needs into innovative products or services.
  5. Adaptability and lifelong learning - a mindset that embraces continuous upskilling.

Short‑term certifications in data analysis, AI ethics, or renewable energy installation can provide a quick entry point into safer jobs.

How businesses and governments can act

How businesses and governments can act

Stakeholders share responsibility for a smooth transition:

  • Businesses should invest in internal training programs, partner with vocational schools, and redesign roles to combine human oversight with automated tools.
  • Governments can fund reskilling scholarships, update curricula to include digital competencies, and create safety nets for displaced workers.
  • Unions need to negotiate fair transition clauses, such as severance tied to retraining opportunities.

When policy, industry, and education align, the risk of a massive unemployment spike drops dramatically.

Comparison: High‑Risk vs Low‑Risk Jobs

Automation potential and outlook for selected occupations
Occupation Automation Potential
(% by 2030)
Typical Education
(years)
Growth Outlook
(2024‑2029)
Cashier 92 0‑2 ‑15%
Truck driver (long‑haul) 85 2‑4 ‑10%
Healthcare nurse 15 3‑5 +8%
Software developer 10 3‑5 +12%
Electrician 20 2‑4 +6%

The table makes it clear: occupations with high automation potential also show negative growth, while those with low potential enjoy healthy hiring trends.

Related concepts shaping the future workforce

Understanding job displacement also means grasping the broader ecosystem:

  • Robotics - machines capable of physical interaction, increasingly used in manufacturing and logistics
  • Self‑checkout technology - computer‑vision and sensor‑based systems that let consumers scan and pay without staff
  • Cloud computing - on‑demand IT resources that enable AI services to scale globally
  • 3D printing - additive manufacturing that reduces the need for traditional parts‑making labor
  • Telemedicine - remote health consultations powered by digital platforms, shifting demand from in‑person admin staff

Each of these technologies creates new roles (e.g., AI ethics officer, cloud‑infrastructure manager) while eroding older ones.

Practical steps you can take today

  1. Audit your current skill set against the high‑risk occupations list.
  2. Identify one or two low‑risk skill buckets you enjoy (e.g., data analysis, creative writing).
  3. Enroll in a short online course - many UK universities offer free micro‑credentials on AI fundamentals.
  4. Apply the new skill to a side project or freelance gig to build a portfolio.
  5. Network with professionals in the target field through local meet‑ups or LinkedIn groups.

Following this roadmap can shave months off the time it takes to transition into a more secure role.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which jobs are most threatened by automation?

Roles that involve repetitive, predictable tasks-such as cashiers, telemarketers, routine manufacturing operatives, and long‑haul truck drivers-have automation potentials above 80% and are expected to shrink dramatically by 2030.

Will AI create more jobs than it destroys?

AI does generate new occupations-like prompt engineers, AI ethicists, and data‑annotation specialists-but the net effect depends on how quickly workers can move into those roles. In most advanced economies, the creation will not fully offset the loss unless large‑scale reskilling occurs.

What skills are safest from automation?

Skills that blend technical knowledge with human judgment-such as complex problem solving, emotional intelligence, creativity, and advanced digital literacy-are least likely to be automated. Investing in these areas builds a buffer against displacement.

How can employers help workers transition?

Employers can fund internal training, partner with vocational institutes, redesign job descriptions to keep a human oversight layer, and offer placement assistance for roles that complement automated systems.

Is there government support for those losing jobs?

Many countries, including the UK, have announced upskilling funds, apprenticeship subsidies, and wage‑support schemes. Checking the latest Department for Education and Skills funding pages will provide current eligibility criteria.